Value Betting
Made Easy

A bet has "value" when the true probability of an outcome is higher than the implied probability in the bookmaker's price. For example, decimal 2.50 implies 40%. If your estimate is 45%, the price is undervalued and you are being paid more than the risk you take. Over many bets this edge compounds into positive expected value (EV).

Why does this appear at all? Markets shift with new information, different modeling assumptions, and changing customer flow. These moving parts create temporary mispricings, which are small windows where the odds do not fully reflect reality. Your job is to find these opportunities consistently and to size stakes responsibly so short-term variance does not derail you.

This is where OddsBandit simplifies the process. Instead of manually checking prices across bookmakers, OddsBandit highlights likely mispricings, shows implied probability alongside your inputs, and lets you compare lines quickly. You can log selections, track EV vs. actual results, and review closing line value (CLV) to see whether the market moved in your favor by kickoff. Built-in tools help with stake sizing (flat or fractional Kelly) and bankroll tracking, so you spend more time judging edges and less time on spreadsheets.